Perspektywa prognostyczna w polityce publicznej. Metody umożliwiające prognozowanie – ich rola w procesie formułowania polityk publicznych

Predictive approach in public policy. Forecasting methods – their role in the formulation of public policies This article presents an overview of the aspects of forecasting in public policy. One may assumed that in the process of formulating its objectives, taking into account the different conditions, it is possible to use methodology to predict its effects. The paper discusses both theoretical and methodological issues. Moreover, the article presents three examples to support the main thesis.