Application of multistate systems safety modelling in maritime transport

Basic concepts of the safety analysis of ageing multistate systems are introduced. The system components and the system multistate safety functions are defined. The mean values and variances of the multistate systems’ lifespans in the safety state subsets and the mean values of their lifespans in the particular safety states are defined. The multistate system risk function and the moment of exceeding the critical safety state are introduced. A series safety structure and a parallel-series safety structure of the multistate systems with ageing components are defined and their safety functions are determined. The multistate system safety models are applied to the prediction of safety characteristics of a maritime ferry.